By that logic, nothing is free. After all, free offers are still paid for by the people who offer it.
And it strikes me as kind of illogical to say that the students are leeching off the taxpayers since when they finish college, they become the taxpayers and pay for the next generation to attend college. And yes, not everybody goes to college, but not everybody benefits from a particular road either and yet everybody’s taxes go to it. If you want, you can just imagine that your taxes are being used to fund the things you want and that the taxes of people who went to college are the ones being used to fund the colleges.
Brilliant read… Amazing how many predictions are accurate but also interesting how certain technologies would not have evolved in this vision, i.e airships are the only mention of flight.
This reads as though written by a Dr Strangelove-type character – ‘there will be no wild animals… rats and mice exterminated… house flies exterminated…’ yet it appeared in The Ladies’ Home Journal. What does that tell you about American ideas of ‘progress’?
I’m calling shenanigans on this one. The predictions are suspiciously accurate and fit our current priorities and achievements too well. If you read tech predictions from only 20 years ago, many of them are ludicrous and far-fetched. How, then, did this list of 20-30 prophecies (from around 115 years ago) match up so well with 2011?
If this were historically written, I’d also expect to see a lot more verbiage that didn’t make sense to me. To the contrary, the way it’s written seems faked, like a lot of effort (or not enough) went into making it sound “old.”.
Thoughts?
This piece has been floating around the Internet for at least five years and has been validated repeatedly. But yes, the author’s prescience does seem almost too good to be credible. His obsession with over-sized veg and fruit convinces me, really
19th century folk were crazy for pneumatic tubes! Most of these predictions are from Bellamy’s “Looking Backward” so they were ideas about the future that had been popular for a little while.
The Ladies’ Home Journal site states the article was printed not circa but precisely 1900. It shouldn’t be too difficult to check in a library whether it was published that year. I shall make it my mission. More later.
For the record, I’m going with real. It’s not THAT prescient, is it? He doesn’t even conceive of flying birds crossing the oceans; it’s all different ways of making boats more futuristic. And how does the phrase “ready-cooked meals” bind it as a hoax, exactly?
“If this were historically written, I’d also expect to see a lot more verbiage that didn’t make sense to me.” – come on Tim, it was only 1900.
Free education is not that far fetched, though, historically and internationally speaking. In the communist countries education (even university education) was free – until the system collapsed.
Although it came at a price for the next generations to pay…
I think I have this issue at home. I’m pretty sure it’s a real article, not that I’m sure we have any reason to assume bad faith here or some kind of hoax. I’ll check and report back.
The biggest issue with these predictions is us. We criticize using the filters of our reality. Not only can we not see into the future, but we don’t have the ability to see backward 100 years so we question everything in a manner consistent with the shallow Twitter/Facebook model where cynicism is confused with intellect.
“To the wisest and best in each field of endeavor I have gone” – these predictions were made by experts, each one projecting forward present (1900) trends in his own field. No wonder they were relatively accurate.
As to the giant strawberries, etc.: if you have the money, you can buy “dipping strawberries” every bit as large as the most common apples of that day. However, they have virtually no flavor.
We have green and lavender-blue roses, though true black ones still elude us.
If we went to present-day specialists and asked each one to extrapolate forward ten years, or even twenty, advances likely to occur in his or her own field we’d have a similar rate of success. (The rate of change sped up too much in the past century to make 100-year predictions useful.)
It doesn’t seem fake to me; so much of it is inaccurate. The drugs stuff? I think people consume more drugs than ever. And the agricultural stuff tends to be wrong, too– cars are still more money than horses (in fact you can pick up a horse for free these days), cows still have horns and can run faster than hogs, wild hogs can still run pretty quickly for that matter, and all of those giant peas and roses don’t exist. There are still insects and rodents and wild animals. To me, more is incorrect than correct, and while it’s uncanny that some of it came true, enough of it is wrong that it’s 100% believable.
Awful set of predictions most never would happen “no wild animals” COME ON….”no cars in the city” hahahahahahahahahahha Totally real document and written by an idiot.
Did get one thing correct photos by telephone, FAX was used by Napoleon for battle instructions no not HP or ZEROX it used the same principles. If only that FAX story were true HA HA
I don’t get what you are talking about saying its too accurate The guy said that gymnastics will begin in the nursery, that E,X,and Q wont exist, and that anybody who cant walk 10 miles at a time will be concidered weak (yeah right people think you are strong if you can do 10 pushups)
Looking carefully at the grammar and word usage, this was written in 1900. There aren’t any words or spellings that are more modern than that, and the grammar is correct for the period. For instance, “The trip…will require a few minutes only.” Even the best of us would probably say “only a few minutes.” And note the “will” instead of “would.” It would be very difficult for even a scholar to fake this and produce no mistakes.
Certain words were hyphenated back then, such as to-day, that we no longer hyphenate. All these are correct. Also, no words are used in describing technology that are any fancier than invisible light, colored light, etc. We would say x-rays, UV-rays, ultraviolet and infrared, etc.
Certain assumptions are made that are appropriate for the time period, for instance that children will always see fruit as a delicacy at Christmas. The fascinations with airships/balloons, electricity and pneumatic tubes are right-on for the time period.
Some of the predictions are accurate, but many more are not. The predictions were made by experts, so some would be likely to come true.
Last but not least, the typesetting is correct for the time period. I’m calling this legit.
I think it is just fascinating. It portrays the obsession with “progress” and the belief that mankind, through the advancement of machines, power, and telecommunications would come to manipulate and control nature to produce a perfect modern world. Of course what hindsight shows us is that while most of the predictions around “technology” (as we now know it)’, transport and utilities have indeed been realised – some extradoridarily close to the descriptions here – almost none of those relating to the natural world (animals, plants, insects and even manipulating rivers to generate hydro power) have been, nir would we now regard them as advances. A clear demonstration of the lack of understanding of the symbiosis of the natural and human world: no wonder we are in the environmental mess we are! And yes I concur you can get “mega fruit” but it has no flavor at all!
Yes, it was all about the triumph of mankind over environment. Big factories, big machinery- the bigger the better, and the more of the earth’s resources they could process at one time, the better still. This continued at least until the 1950′s.
Lots of those predictions are very accurate. If only university education was free to all!
No such thing as free university education for all. Someone is paying for it, except the students who are leaching off the payers :>)
By that logic, nothing is free. After all, free offers are still paid for by the people who offer it.
And it strikes me as kind of illogical to say that the students are leeching off the taxpayers since when they finish college, they become the taxpayers and pay for the next generation to attend college. And yes, not everybody goes to college, but not everybody benefits from a particular road either and yet everybody’s taxes go to it. If you want, you can just imagine that your taxes are being used to fund the things you want and that the taxes of people who went to college are the ones being used to fund the colleges.
Brilliant read… Amazing how many predictions are accurate but also interesting how certain technologies would not have evolved in this vision, i.e airships are the only mention of flight.
This reads as though written by a Dr Strangelove-type character – ‘there will be no wild animals… rats and mice exterminated… house flies exterminated…’ yet it appeared in The Ladies’ Home Journal. What does that tell you about American ideas of ‘progress’?
Can’t wait for those giant apple-sized strawberries!
An astonishing read. Thank you for bringing it to us!
What was the fascination with giant fruit and veg all about?
Wow – he pretty much nailed most of his predictions. it’s a shame that university education still isn’t free to all.
I’m calling shenanigans on this one. The predictions are suspiciously accurate and fit our current priorities and achievements too well. If you read tech predictions from only 20 years ago, many of them are ludicrous and far-fetched. How, then, did this list of 20-30 prophecies (from around 115 years ago) match up so well with 2011?
If this were historically written, I’d also expect to see a lot more verbiage that didn’t make sense to me. To the contrary, the way it’s written seems faked, like a lot of effort (or not enough) went into making it sound “old.”.
Thoughts?
I want to believe, but can’t.
Retronaut STOP Big Fan STOP Not sure this is the real deal old bean STOP Would love to be proved wrong STOP
The phrase “ready made meals” in common usage in 1900? I don’t think so. Own up, whoever fabricated this. It’s clever but not clever enough.
Well, if it’s fake, Ladies Home Journal (which is still published) is in on it:
http://www.lhj.com/style/covers/predictions-for-the-year-2000/
Tim: any examples?
Tim,
This piece has been floating around the Internet for at least five years and has been validated repeatedly. But yes, the author’s prescience does seem almost too good to be credible. His obsession with over-sized veg and fruit convinces me, really
19th century folk were crazy for pneumatic tubes! Most of these predictions are from Bellamy’s “Looking Backward” so they were ideas about the future that had been popular for a little while.
The Ladies’ Home Journal site states the article was printed not circa but precisely 1900. It shouldn’t be too difficult to check in a library whether it was published that year. I shall make it my mission. More later.
For the record, I’m going with real. It’s not THAT prescient, is it? He doesn’t even conceive of flying birds crossing the oceans; it’s all different ways of making boats more futuristic. And how does the phrase “ready-cooked meals” bind it as a hoax, exactly?
“If this were historically written, I’d also expect to see a lot more verbiage that didn’t make sense to me.” – come on Tim, it was only 1900.
Not just free education, but if you look closer they also predicted universal healthcare. We can only wish . . .
Free education is not that far fetched, though, historically and internationally speaking. In the communist countries education (even university education) was free – until the system collapsed.
Although it came at a price for the next generations to pay…
I think I have this issue at home. I’m pretty sure it’s a real article, not that I’m sure we have any reason to assume bad faith here or some kind of hoax. I’ll check and report back.
The biggest issue with these predictions is us. We criticize using the filters of our reality. Not only can we not see into the future, but we don’t have the ability to see backward 100 years so we question everything in a manner consistent with the shallow Twitter/Facebook model where cynicism is confused with intellect.
“To the wisest and best in each field of endeavor I have gone” – these predictions were made by experts, each one projecting forward present (1900) trends in his own field. No wonder they were relatively accurate.
As to the giant strawberries, etc.: if you have the money, you can buy “dipping strawberries” every bit as large as the most common apples of that day. However, they have virtually no flavor.
We have green and lavender-blue roses, though true black ones still elude us.
If we went to present-day specialists and asked each one to extrapolate forward ten years, or even twenty, advances likely to occur in his or her own field we’d have a similar rate of success. (The rate of change sped up too much in the past century to make 100-year predictions useful.)
It doesn’t seem fake to me; so much of it is inaccurate. The drugs stuff? I think people consume more drugs than ever. And the agricultural stuff tends to be wrong, too– cars are still more money than horses (in fact you can pick up a horse for free these days), cows still have horns and can run faster than hogs, wild hogs can still run pretty quickly for that matter, and all of those giant peas and roses don’t exist. There are still insects and rodents and wild animals. To me, more is incorrect than correct, and while it’s uncanny that some of it came true, enough of it is wrong that it’s 100% believable.
There are some tuition free colleges and universities in Europe. So mad right now. :-p
Awful set of predictions most never would happen “no wild animals” COME ON….”no cars in the city” hahahahahahahahahahha Totally real document and written by an idiot.
Did get one thing correct photos by telephone, FAX was used by Napoleon for battle instructions no not HP or ZEROX it used the same principles. If only that FAX story were true HA HA
So this wasn’t too correct.
I don’t get what you are talking about saying its too accurate The guy said that gymnastics will begin in the nursery, that E,X,and Q wont exist, and that anybody who cant walk 10 miles at a time will be concidered weak (yeah right people think you are strong if you can do 10 pushups)
Looking carefully at the grammar and word usage, this was written in 1900. There aren’t any words or spellings that are more modern than that, and the grammar is correct for the period. For instance, “The trip…will require a few minutes only.” Even the best of us would probably say “only a few minutes.” And note the “will” instead of “would.” It would be very difficult for even a scholar to fake this and produce no mistakes.
Certain words were hyphenated back then, such as to-day, that we no longer hyphenate. All these are correct. Also, no words are used in describing technology that are any fancier than invisible light, colored light, etc. We would say x-rays, UV-rays, ultraviolet and infrared, etc.
Certain assumptions are made that are appropriate for the time period, for instance that children will always see fruit as a delicacy at Christmas. The fascinations with airships/balloons, electricity and pneumatic tubes are right-on for the time period.
Some of the predictions are accurate, but many more are not. The predictions were made by experts, so some would be likely to come true.
Last but not least, the typesetting is correct for the time period. I’m calling this legit.
I think it is just fascinating. It portrays the obsession with “progress” and the belief that mankind, through the advancement of machines, power, and telecommunications would come to manipulate and control nature to produce a perfect modern world. Of course what hindsight shows us is that while most of the predictions around “technology” (as we now know it)’, transport and utilities have indeed been realised – some extradoridarily close to the descriptions here – almost none of those relating to the natural world (animals, plants, insects and even manipulating rivers to generate hydro power) have been, nir would we now regard them as advances. A clear demonstration of the lack of understanding of the symbiosis of the natural and human world: no wonder we are in the environmental mess we are! And yes I concur you can get “mega fruit” but it has no flavor at all!
Yes, it was all about the triumph of mankind over environment. Big factories, big machinery- the bigger the better, and the more of the earth’s resources they could process at one time, the better still. This continued at least until the 1950′s.